What Trump’s Tariffs Aim to Fix

A quiet theme runs through modern American life: the frustration of doing everything right and still falling behind. Wages have stagnated for decades while costs have risen. The average home costs more than six times the median income. Student debt tops $1.7 trillion. And 60% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck.

It wasn’t always this way. Steady jobs in the trades and manufacturing once offered stability—homeownership, raising a family, college, and even retirement. These weren’t luxuries—they were expectations.

You can hear the shift in early '80s music. Bruce Springsteen’s My Hometown tells of a factory closing and a town fading. Billy Joel’s Allentown captures a generation stuck between the past’s promise and a changing world.

They weren’t just singing about New Jersey or Pennsylvania—they were singing about a broader feeling of loss that would grow over the next four decades.

The decline of U.S. manufacturing was due to globalization and automation cutting jobs. The economy shifted to technology, finance, and services, and growth didn’t reach everyone.

Some places adapted, while others were left behind. Many working Americans still feel the fallout. Living costs outpace income, and the gains of growth are unevenly spread.

As of early 2024, the wealthiest 10% own 93% of all U.S. stocks. The bottom 50% own just 1%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent put it simply: “The rich own stocks, the poor own debt. They have credit card bills, they rent their homes, they have auto loans, and we’ve got to give them some relief.”

The Current Economic Landscape

As of early 2025, the U.S. economy presents a mixed picture:

  • The federal budget deficit reached $1.147 trillion in the first five months of fiscal year 2025. The Congressional Budget Office projects the total deficit will hit $1.9 trillion, or 6.2% of GDP, by year’s end. 

  • The national debt has risen to $36.22 trillion.

  • The U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $122.7 billion in February 2025, down from previous months.

Despite these challenges, certain economic indicators—like unemployment and consumer spending—remain stable. But many economists and policymakers have voiced concerns about the long-term health of the system, particularly the growing reliance on government spending to sustain growth.

Secretary Bessent described the U.S. economy as “hooked” on deficit spending, comparing it to an athlete using steroids: “Outside looks great, you’re muscular; inside, you’re killing your vital organs.” His comment reflects concern that a strong surface economy may mask deeper imbalances, such as high national debt, uneven wealth distribution, and dependency on borrowing.

The Risks of Staying the Course

Right now, the U.S. economy is propped up by high levels of government spending, ultra-low unemployment, and a richly valued stock market. But underneath the surface, there are cracks:

  • The working class is burdened with debt, not wealth.

  • Homeownership is increasingly out of reach.

  • Government debt is rising faster than GDP.

  • Productivity growth is slowing.

  • Inflation, while tamed for now, could return if deficit spending persists.

Continuing down this road means more dependence on foreign goods, a ballooning national debt, and a middle class that’s more fragile with each passing year.

A Policy Response: Tariffs and Government Reform

Against this backdrop, there’s renewed interest in how trade policy and government reform might help address the economy's structural weaknesses.

One approach, pushed forward by the current administration centers around two ideas:

  1. Tariffs on imported goods

  2. A federal initiative called the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

These proposals aim to reduce the U.S. trade and budget deficits, boost domestic manufacturing, and increase government accountability. While supporters see them as part of a long-term recovery strategy, critics raise concerns about potential side effects, including price increases and implementation challenges.

Tariffs: The Goal, Rebalancing Trade to Support Workers and Strengthen the Economy

The President’s tariff strategy is designed to shift the U.S. away from decades of dependence on cheap imports and toward a more self-reliant economy built around domestic production. By placing targeted taxes on imported goods, the policy aims to make U.S.-made products more competitive and encourage companies to bring manufacturing jobs back home.

Supporters say this approach would:

  • Revive industrial jobs and rebuild the middle class

  • Strengthen supply chains by reducing reliance on foreign production

  • Boost wages and job opportunities in regions hit hardest by offshoring

  • Generate new federal revenue without raising income taxes

That tariff revenue is key. Paired with cost-cutting measures from the newly proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the plan is also intended to help lower the federal deficit and slow the growth of national debt. In theory, a more balanced trade policy combined with more efficient government spending could lead to long-term economic stability.

Critics caution that tariffs can raise prices and strain global trade relationships. But the administration views them as part of a broader reset—one that puts American workers and fiscal health at the center of economic policy.

The Risks of Trump’s Tariff Strategy

Tariffs and government reform aim to rebalance the economy—but the approach comes with real trade-offs.

  • Higher Prices: Tariffs can raise the cost of imports, which often gets passed on to consumers—especially tough for lower- and middle-income households already stretched thin.

  • Trade Retaliation: Other countries may respond with tariffs of their own, hurting U.S. exports and escalating into a broader trade conflict.

  • Implementation Hurdles: Creating a new agency like DOGE is ambitious. Reforming government is slow, messy, and often falls short of expectations.

  • Fewer Jobs Than Expected: Even if factories return, many jobs lost were to automation, not offshoring. Without workforce investment, the job impact could be limited.

  • Inflation Risk: If tariffs fuel price increases while deficit spending continues, inflation could rise again—forcing higher interest rates and slowing growth.

Conclusion

This isn’t just about economics—it’s about what kind of future we’re building. For many Americans, the old promise—that hard work leads to security—feels broken. The discontent isn’t abstract; it’s personal.

Tariffs and government reform may not fix everything. But they are an attempt to address real, deep-rooted problems: wage stagnation, industrial decline, and ballooning debt. Whether they succeed or not, they’re forcing a conversation we’ve put off for too long.

What kind of economy do we want? Who is it for? And how do we make sure that the American Dream isn’t just a memory but a possibility for all?

Because no matter your politics, Allentown and My Hometown still hit too close to home.

If you want to discuss this further, we offer a complimentary 15-minute call to discuss your concerns and share how we can help.

This material was written in collaboration with artificial intelligence (ChatGPT) and derived from sources believed to be correct.

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